I've been watching this whole dev job situation unfold, and honestly, it's wild how much things have changed. Like, I remember when my friend Sarah got hired as a junior developer back in 2020 just because she could write basic HTML. Now? I know people with computer science degrees who can't even get interviews at McDonald's.
Okay, that last part might be a bit dramatic, but you get what I mean.
So here's the thing - I've been trying to land a dev job for the past eight months now. Eight months! And I'm not some complete beginner either. I've got a decent portfolio, some internship experience, and I can actually code without copy-pasting everything from Stack Overflow.
But the market? It's brutal out there.
According to recent research from Rest of World, the tech job market in 2026 is built on contradictions. Companies are laying off staff while saying AI will help them "do more with less." But here's the weird part - they haven't actually figured out how to use AI at scale yet.
I applied to this one company last week - just a basic web developer position. The requirements list was longer than my college thesis. They wanted 3-5 years of experience for an "entry-level" role, plus knowledge of like fifteen different frameworks, cloud deployment, DevOps experience, and oh yeah, you should probably speak three languages too.
The salary? $45,000.
I mean, come on.
Talking to my mentor (who's been in tech for about fifteen years), he explained it pretty simply. We're basically in a recession, but nobody wants to call it that. There are way more people wanting developer jobs than there are actual jobs available.
He told me that back in 2013, companies were literally begging people to learn to code. Everyone and their mom was pushing kids into computer science programs. Coding bootcamps were popping up everywhere. And for a while, it worked great.
But then... well, then everyone became a developer.
A Medium article I read recently puts it perfectly: "The 'learn to code and get a high-paying remote job' dream? It's not dead, but it's definitely on life support."
Harvard research shows something really interesting - companies that adopt AI actually cut junior developer hiring by 9-10%. But at the same time, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics says software developer jobs will grow 15% through 2034. That's confusing, right?
| Year | CS Graduates | Available Positions | Competition Level |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | ~65,000 | ~85,000 | Low |
| 2020 | ~75,000 | ~95,000 | Moderate |
| 2022 | ~85,000 | ~70,000 | High |
| 2024 | ~95,000 | ~45,000 | Extreme |
Note: These are rough estimates based on industry reports, but they show the trend.
Seeing those numbers laid out like that? Yeah, it makes sense why I'm getting rejection emails before I even finish submitting applications.
According to ByteIota's research, both trends are real because AI is helping software expand into new industries like healthcare, agriculture, and manufacturing. These places need developers, but they want different skills than traditional coding.
And then there's the whole AI thing. I can't escape it. Every conversation about the job market somehow turns into "well, AI is going to replace developers anyway."
Look, I've used ChatGPT and Claude for coding help. They're pretty good at writing basic functions and explaining concepts. But they're not about to take over complex software architecture anytime soon. At least, I hope not.
The real problem is that companies are using AI as an excuse to cut costs and reduce hiring. They think they can get by with fewer developers because "AI will handle the simple stuff." Meanwhile, the remaining developers are expected to do the work of three people.
It's not sustainable, but try explaining that to a CEO who just wants to see lower payroll costs.
Another thing that's making dev jobs harder to find? Offshoring. And I'm not trying to blame anyone here - it's just basic economics. Why hire a developer in the US for $80,000 when you can hire someone equally skilled in another country for $25,000?
I've seen job postings where they're pretty upfront about it. "We're building a global remote team" usually translates to "we're hiring the cheapest talent we can find."
Again, I get it from a business perspective. But it makes the local job market even tighter for the rest of us.
Interestingly, there's a tweet from Patrick Leet that points out how AI might actually hurt offshore markets too. He says AI could automate tasks that used to be outsourced, which would impact job security in those areas as well.
This is the part that really gets to me. Every entry-level position wants 2-3 years of experience. But how are you supposed to get experience if nobody will hire you without experience?
I've talked to recent graduates who are seven months out from college and still haven't landed their first job. Seven months! These aren't people who can't code - they've got solid portfolios, good grades, internship experience. But the market is just that saturated.
One guy I know got rejected from FedEx. FedEx! And they're supposedly always hiring.
The requirements creep is real too. That same company that wanted basic HTML/CSS knowledge five years ago? Now they want full-stack experience, system administration skills, and DevOps knowledge. For the same $70,000 salary they were offering before.
As one recruiter told me, companies now want specialists, not generalists. Being a "full-stack developer" used to be impressive. Now it's generic.
Okay, so it's not all doom and gloom. I have seen some people successfully land developer jobs recently. But they've had to get creative.
First, they're not being picky about the company or the exact role. That dream job at Google or Meta? Forget about it for now. Focus on smaller companies, local businesses, or even non-tech companies that need developers.
Second, they're emphasizing any unique skills or domain knowledge they have. Like, if you took a biology class in college and you're applying to a medical software company, mention it. Sometimes that little edge is what separates you from the hundred other applicants with identical resumes.
Third, they're being more flexible about remote versus in-person work. I know everyone wants to work from their couch, but if there's a local company willing to hire you, take it. Experience is experience.
The research from Rest of World shows that 52% of talent acquisition leaders think office requirements hurt hiring, while 72% find remote roles easier to fill. So there's still some opportunity if you're flexible.
Here's something interesting I've noticed - people are pivoting to healthcare IT roles. Hospitals and medical companies are still hiring pretty actively. They need developers for patient management systems, medical record software, telehealth platforms.
It's not the same as working for a hot startup, but the job security is better, and honestly, you're working on stuff that actually helps people. Plus, with an aging population, healthcare tech isn't going anywhere.
I saw some job postings on Twitter from @gulfcareerhunt for Python developers in healthcare tech. They're asking for 8+ years of experience and offering $55,000-$110,000. Not bad, but again, that experience requirement is tough for new grads.
My friend just got hired at a local hospital system doing web development for their patient portal. Not exactly exciting work, but it pays well and he's learning a ton about HIPAA compliance and medical data handling.
According to Becker's Hospital Review, healthcare organizations are dealing with human-AI integration challenges. They need people who can help with technical deployment and cultural adoption as AI moves from pilot projects to full use.
One of the biggest fights happening right now is about where people work. Most developers want remote or hybrid jobs. But companies keep demanding everyone come back to the office full-time.
It's creating this weird standoff. The best workers want flexibility, but companies think they can force people back to cubicles. Meanwhile, CIO Dive reports that this is making it even harder to hire good people.
Some companies are starting to offer higher salaries to get people to come to the office. Others are just accepting less qualified candidates who are willing to show up in person.
Talking to people who've been through previous tech downturns (like the dot-com crash), they all say the same thing - this too shall pass. The market runs in cycles. Right now we're in the "everyone thinks they want to be a developer" phase, which naturally leads to oversaturation.
Eventually, some people will give up and move to other careers. Companies will realize they still need skilled developers. New technologies will create new types of jobs. The cycle will reset.
The question is how long this phase lasts. Some recruiters I've talked to think we'll start seeing improvement by 2029 or 2030. Others are more optimistic and say 2027.
Personally? I think it depends a lot on what happens with AI development and the broader economy.
Gartner predicts that 80% of engineers will need to upskill by 2027. That's a lot of people who need to learn new things just to stay relevant.
Look, I'm not going to lie and say this is easy. Getting rejection after rejection starts to mess with your head after a while. You start questioning whether you're actually good at this, whether you wasted years studying the wrong thing.
But here's what I keep telling myself (and what other people in the same boat tell me): the fundamentals of software development aren't going anywhere. Even if the job market is tough right now, the skills we're building are still valuable.
Maybe the path to a dev job looks different than we expected. Maybe we need to be more patient, more flexible, more creative in how we approach it.
Or maybe we need to accept that the golden age of easy tech hiring is over, and this is just what the industry looks like now.
According to research from Nerdii, tech skills alone won't be enough anymore. Companies want people who can communicate well, think critically, and work with others. It's not just about coding anymore.
Either way, we're all figuring it out together. And honestly, that's been one of the few bright spots in this whole mess - the community of people going through the same struggle, sharing tips, supporting each other.
Right now, I'm casting a wider net. Instead of just applying to software companies, I'm looking at any business that might need web development help. Local restaurants that need better websites. Small manufacturing companies that want to modernize their systems.
I'm also working on some freelance projects, just to keep my skills sharp and maybe build some connections. The pay isn't great, but it's something.
And I'm trying to stay positive about it all. Which, some days, is harder than debugging a null pointer exception in legacy code.
But hey, at least we're all in this together, right?